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Strange coincidences

It is now about one year that, in the course of my chess games, I notice some strange coincidences.

The first one is that the sequence of my defeats and victories is like big waves: not about one victory and one defeat, but more likely a long sequence of victories and a long sequence of defeats.

The second strange coincidence, related to the preceding one, is in my last three games: after a sequence of defeats, I had a sequence of three victories, against opponents with more points than me; but what impressed me is the reason of my victories: in all three games my opponent didn’t notice that his queen was in check, so I captured his queen and he resigned. It looks like, after a sequence of my defeats, my (unknown) opponents decide to be strangely inattentive, and vice versa, after a sequence of my victories, my opponents become strangely stronger.

Do you happen to have similar coincidences in your games, or is it only me?
If you play in tournaments then statistics can be another.
I notice this all the time. When you are losing repeatedly it's called being on "tilt"-it's something of a psychological phenomenon where you get into your head and play below your level. When I start to think I'm playing a lot worse than usual I often stop playing and start doing puzzles. I will also mention out loud to myself that I'm on tilt, and that it will pass, and just play each move to the best of my ability.

On the flip side I sometimes play games where I can just tell I'm going to win from the very first move. I often play a string of games in a row where I play with such confidence that I feel almost invincible.

Neither state lasts forever and with most things in life, your ability is best represented by your performance over a long period of time where these states average out.
"the sequence of my defeats and victories is like big waves: not about one victory and one defeat, but more likely a long sequence of victories and a long sequence of defeats."
Look at the population of numbers : there is only one "1", OTH there are 2, 3, 4, ... ; therefore it's not surprising that sequences longer than one are more frequent.
I noticed similar patterns. There is are external variables that is, time of day and day of week. These variables may have a strong influence on the outcome of games. They may not. It depends on where you are in the world as to what time of day the Lichess player numbers peak. I am on the east coast of Australia. I don't know the exact mix of nationalities at any one time on Lichess but I could see patterns on Chess.com as the nationality was displayed in their profile. In any particular country, a person is usually playing in their recreation time, that is, after dinner and in the evening on work days. India has a large number of chess players so their peak is weekday evenings 6pm to 11pm (New Delhi). This corresponds to 10.30pm to 3.30 am Sydney time.
I find that the numbers on Lichess vary between a low of about 5,000 and a high of about 16,000. I thought I saw a pattern in my wins and losses in that most of my wins were Monday to Friday and my losses were on weekends. I'm not sure there's anything in these observations of significance. I agree to some extent that we are "on fire" sometimes and at others we are cold and roll down hill like a snow ball. If all these random? factors are thrown in together then their should be a randomness about a ratings variations but I still think I see patterns. Are people who play on the weekends stronger players? Is cheating (not mine (:) a factor. Being beaten by a player 300 rating points lower is often irritating and demoralising. I start thinking "why bother with online chess", it's full of cheats. I get distracted by these thoughts and I lose several games in a row. Are there more cheats in certain parts of the world?

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